{"id":3745,"date":"2018-04-24T10:34:43","date_gmt":"2018-04-24T17:34:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/?p=3745"},"modified":"2018-04-25T04:09:07","modified_gmt":"2018-04-25T11:09:07","slug":"ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/ai\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Artificial Intelligence the End of Humanity?  Eventually!"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>AI &#8211; The Snake is Already Loose<\/h4>\n<p>So many people ask me about AI with emotions \u00a0that range from curiosity to terror. \u00a0I decided to write about AI in a shorthand version.<\/p>\n<p>Assuming we are not living in a computer simulation\u2026which we probably are! Assuming we are not an alien civilizations DNA experiment\u2026plausible.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>What we are confronted with is the extinction of humans based on the dramatic logarithmic expansion of general artificial intelligence commonly known as GAI or AI.<\/p>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-3751\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/robot_evolution.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"246\" height=\"202\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/robot_evolution.jpg 246w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/robot_evolution-150x123.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 246px) 100vw, 246px\" \/> Prediction:<\/strong><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The population of the human race will begin to decline within 100 years.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>There will be less than 500 million humans in 1000 years.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Humans may go extinct in 10,000 years if we do not become interplanetary explorers.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Really!<\/p>\n<h4>So what is AI.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Which way to go? <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>In the early 1990\u2019s, I was involved with 200 channel neural network software that hunted for Russian submarine (ASW) activity based on what was missing, not what was there.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Meaning that masking or stealth technology would hide an underwater signature of a submarine or autonomous vehicle.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>So, the software was trained to look for the absence of things like wake or dead silence as opposed to the movie version of Hunt for Red October where a sonar operator would notice the absence of sound pings.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Okay, this was Anti Submarine warfare (ASW) in 1990.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Quick fact check, that was 28 years ago.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>28!<\/p>\n<h4>Lots of noise today about AI.<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-3752\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/what-is-ai-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/what-is-ai-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/what-is-ai-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/what-is-ai-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/what-is-ai-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/what-is-ai.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>In 2000, I was asked to talk about nanobots and micro machine drones that would fly in swarms using mesh networks.\u2026aka AI<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>I did a very long presentation to Pentagon types and the NSA at L3 outside of Washington DC.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Lots laughed and a few Generals pull me aside to ask how?<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Imagine a Global Hawk the size of a hummingbird as thousands checked out bad guys movements and habits.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Not a stretch to figure out how to use AI to monitor remote surveillance cameras for patterns.<\/p>\n<h3>The Human Brain Works in Patterns.<\/h3>\n<p>Neural Networks were not looked at as if they were mirroring the brain.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Marvin Minsky from MIT had some theories and his book Society of Mind (1986) which perplexed many.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>I knew Marvin\u2026well, I met him.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Even Ray Kurzweil, as a protege of Marvin, probably would not say he knew him.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Out there would be a great definition of Marvin.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Minsky believed that computers would exceed human capabilities right about now and he was right.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>If you totally want to unscrew your brain, by a copy.<\/p>\n<p>We see something, hear something an we deduce a pattern based on our experience.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>I really don\u2019t give a crap about brain theory, all animals notice things that change and often forget about things that stay the same.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Patterns!<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>AI used to be about Expert Systems that we trained.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Teach that robot to paint a car and then they can paint tens of thousand until they are retrained for a new model. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>That is not AI and not even close to what AI is now and what it can be.<\/p>\n<h4>We are Already AI Dependent.<\/h4>\n<p>If you do not own a smartphone, pad or smart watch you need not read on.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>In todays society you are a Muggle, so live with it.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>You have no Magic.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>AI is not a maybe, it is and it is now!<\/p>\n<p>Yes, our smartphones are input devices of the AI engines at Google, Facebook and about a thousand other sites that predict and plan on things that will influence us based on your patterns and habits.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>They can do that at MIPS rates (Millions of Instructions Sets Per Second)<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>easy peasy. There are some really badass computer algorithms that tell Apple what products we need before we know we need them.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Really!<\/p>\n<h4>Impressed Yet?<\/h4>\n<p>I truly believe that I will see Transhumanism in my lifetime.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Meaning we will be able to download our conscientiousness into a computer.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Immortality or a curse, it is fascinating and plausible. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Certainly within 100 years.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Technology is no longer linear and we will learn things and make discoveries faster than ever before.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Non-Linear!<\/p>\n<h4>Deep Learning<\/h4>\n<p>I will try to synopsize deep learning.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>My suggestion is that you <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/TnUYcTuZJpM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">watch this video about Google\u2019s Deep Mind project<\/a>.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>It is how their neural net taught it self the ancient Chinese game Go.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Not only did AlphaGo beat the worlds top GO player, but it taught itself to do that overnight.<\/p>\n<p>So here is the simplest way that I can present why AI\u2026the snake\u2026 is already loose and were not going to get him back in the box.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>When expert systems were the rage, we taught them repetitive tasks as I described above.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Now the machines are learning by them selves at unbelievable speeds and depths that no human could ever fathoms.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-3750 size-medium\" title=\"AI\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/ai-300x137.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"137\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/ai-300x137.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/ai-150x68.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/ai-768x350.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/ai-1024x467.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/ai.jpg 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>The rub is that these machines are learning based on watching, tracking and learning from human behavior by reading, listening and seeing. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Its not that a deep learning system can digest the Oxford English Dictionary in milliseconds.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The rub is that the machines are learning societies negatives and the good stuff at the same time.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Which way will it go?<\/p>\n<p>In China, a deep learning AI system watches on the millions of cameras and issues tickets to people based on facial recognition when they Jaywalk.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The Pentagon and DARPA are seeking DNA based targeting systems for AI directed weapons.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Facial recognition is already used by assassin drones.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Enough said?<\/p>\n<p>Contrast, many professions like health and law fight to keep AI out.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>I recently had to have a crown put on a tooth.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The process was the same as one I had done 45 years ago.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>They take impression, grind away, take more impressions and send the moulds off to a lab for weeks while making me wear a temporary that will not hold up to a deep dish pizza.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>This is an entire article unto itself, but the point here is if they had adopted technology, they would have used a 3D scanner to tell a 3D printer to make me a new crown in minutes and without all the associated cost or drama. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Waiting 3 weeks for a lab to make me a permanent crown is the same time it took 35 years ago.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The technology is there, but the people are not. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>Will AI Replace Jobs?<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-3298 size-medium\" title=\"AI\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/VirtualReality-300x188.jpg\" alt=\"AI\" width=\"300\" height=\"188\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/VirtualReality-300x188.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/VirtualReality-150x94.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/VirtualReality.jpg 658w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Unlike Expert Systems (robotics) replaced blue collar factory workers, AI will strike at the heart of advanced professionals. \u00a0Yes! And it will also obsolete many professions.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Today!<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Now!<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>97+% of people experience health discomfort first consult Google.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Most often self-prescribe rather then seeing a doctor whose healthcare providers are trained to look for whats wrong and not whats right.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>No surprise that younger generations will do anything to not see a doctor.<\/p>\n<p>Many professions like law, healthcare and accounting rely on stored information for almost all of their decision tree.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>When you involve an attorney, they refer to case law.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>A doctor will often refer to information gained during their internship 25 years ago.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>An accountant reads the IRS code and helps to make a decision, which they are not accountable for (always found this funny that accountants are no accountable).<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Many professions rely on stored data to offer opinion.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>AI and GAI engines can do the exact same thing in less than a blink of the eye. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>It is plausible that these professions and many others will cease to exist and AI engines will replace them. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Someone recently asked me if I would trust and AI system with my life.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Yes was my resounding answer and the why is all but too clear.<\/p>\n<p>I am trying to present a picture and suffice to say that any profession based on historical data will be made obsolete by AI\u2026and so will the people that believe that it will not.<\/p>\n<h4>So What Do We Do?<\/h4>\n<p>Nothing, because you can\u2019t.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>We are already in it, the snake is out and politicians think they can control it by grilling techies on Capitol Hill. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Game over.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>AI wins!<\/p>\n<h4>Will there be Wildcards<\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-3757\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/sticker375x360-bgffffff-300x288.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"288\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/sticker375x360-bgffffff-300x288.png 300w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/sticker375x360-bgffffff-150x144.png 150w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/sticker375x360-bgffffff.png 375w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Guys like Elon Musk have created OpenAI and Neuralink to try and balance the onslaught of AI.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>They might be wildcards, but odds are that AI will track the negativity and narcissism of society as it deep learns human behavior for the theoretical benefit of humans.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Then there is Facebook!<\/p>\n<p>Although we do have a slim chance to win if we rely on our wisdom and intuition as humans.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>However, intuition is merely predictions based on experience and random regression models.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Go is a game of intuition, so we might not have any cards left in this game.<\/p>\n<p>In one sense, if society flipped overnight and began to treat each other with care, kindness and love, we would indeed train these deep learning AI engines goodness.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Do I believe that will happen?<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>As an eternal optimist I don\u2019t think we have a chance<\/p>\n<p>Only time will tell.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Maybe time to join Elon on Mars.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>The only other thing is to confuse the shit out of the AI bots.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>So lets get Capitol Hill involved.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>That should do it.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3733 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/pence-1024x421.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"416\" height=\"171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/pence-1024x421.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/pence-150x62.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/pence-300x123.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/pence-768x316.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/wp-content\/uploads\/pence.jpg 1300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 416px) 100vw, 416px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Unlike Expert Systems (robotics) replaced blue collar factory workers, AI will strike at the heart of advanced professionals. \u00a0Yes! And it will also obsolete many professions.  Bob talks about what everyone else is talking about, but from 30 years experience in AI <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/ai\/\" title=\"Is Artificial Intelligence the End of Humanity?  Eventually!\">[&#8211;Read More]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":125,"featured_media":3298,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1,60,4],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-3745","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"category-evolution-revolution","9":"category-see"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is Artificial Intelligence (AI) the End of Humanity? Eventually!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Unlike Expert Systems (robotics) replaced blue collar factory workers, AI will strike at the heart of advanced professionals. \u00a0Yes! And it will also obsolete many professions.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chilltravelers.com\/chill\/ai\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Is Artificial Intelligence (AI) the End of Humanity? Eventually!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Unlike Expert Systems (robotics) replaced blue collar factory workers, AI will strike at the heart of advanced professionals. \u00a0Yes! 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